Barring the intervention of the Grim Reaper, the following is based on how the College of Cardinal Electors will look on the eve of the consistory in February.
Note is given of cardinals in a country who have passed the 79 year mark. If
they are an “Ordinary” the successor is given IF he is not yet a cardinal; see
for example below: Cardinal Tettamanzi was replaced by Cardinal Scola.
If a prelate is thought likely to be elevated at the First Franciscan
Consistory, his name is highlighted in red; if he might be elevated but there
is a doubt, then green is used
Western Europe (45 Electors/45 non-Electors)
ITALY:
25 Electors; 22 non-Electors
Archbishop Cesare Nosiglia (69) was appointed to Turin
on October 11, 2010, in succession to Severino Cardinal Poletto who turned 80
on March 18.
Archbishop Francesco Moraglia (60) was appointed Patriarch of Venice on January 31,
2010, when Cardinal Scola was translated to Milan.
(Note:
These appointments would only temporarily increase the Italian presence in the
College of Cardinal Electors: Cardinal Tettamanzi will be 80 on March 14, 2014:
Emeritus, Milan.
Cardinal
Sardi will be 80 on September 1, 2014: Emeritus, Curia, Vice-Chamberlain.)
SPAIN:
5 Electors; 5 non-Electors
Cardinal
Amigo Vallejo OFM will be 80 on August 23, 2014: Emeritus, Seville.
Juan José Asenjo Pelegrina (68), was appointed
Coadjutor on November 13, 2008, and succeeded on November 5, 2009.
(Only
two Archbishops of Seville were not created cardinal. Both died shortly after
appointment: Archbishop Salvador Castellote y Pinazo was appointed on December
6, 1906, and died just over a fortnight later, on December 23 in his 61st
year; Archbishop Bienvenido Monzón y Martín was appointed on March 27, 1885 and
died just under five months later, on August 10 in his 65th year.)
GERMANY:
4 Electors; 5 non-Electors
NOTE:
One of the non-Electors is Joachim Cardinal Meisner, 80 on Christmas Day
(coming, that is 2013). He is still active as Metropolitan Archbishop of
Cologne, which is most definitely a “Red Hat” See. So when his successor IS
named, he will come into the reckoning.
Cardinal
Cordes wll be 80 on September 5: Emeritus, Curia (“Cor Unum”)
FRANCE
4 Electors; 4 non-Electors
SWITZERLAND:
1 Elector; 3 non-Electors
PORTUGAL:
2 Elector; 1 non-Elector
NOTE:
Patriarch Manuel José Macário do Nascimento Clemente (65)
was appointed Patriarch of Lisbon on May 18, 2013. Patriarch José da Cruz
Cardinal Policarpo will not be 80 until February 26, 2016.
IRELAND:
1 Elector; 1 non-Electors
NETHERLANDS:
1 Elector; 1 non-Elector
GREAT
BRITAIN: 1 Elector; 1 non-Elector
NOTE:
the Elector is Keith Patrick Cardinal O’Brien who was 75 on March 17 this year.
There is some question as to whether he will resign the cardinalate at the next
consistory.
Vincent Gerard Nichols (67) was appointed
Archbishop of Westminster on April 3, 2009, in succession to Cardinal
Murphy-O’Connor who turned 80 on August 24, 2012. Whilst it is likely that he would never have received a Red Hat under Benedict, it is unlikkely that Pope Francis willbe as severe in his judgement, although Cardinal Ouelett is unlikely to have changed his views. (Cardinal Ouelett, as Prefect of the Congregation for Bishops, is required to brief the Pope BUT the choices are entirely a matter for the Pope. So, if, for example, Cardinal Ouelett says that historically the Metrpolitan Archbishop of Westminster is created cardinal at the first opportunity but your predecessor held this view..." Pope Francis could say "well I don't."
AUSTRIA:
1 Elector
BELGIUM:
1 non-Elector
André-Joseph Léonard (73), Military Ordinary of
Belgium was translated on February 27, 2010, as Archbishop and Metropolitan to Mechelen–Brussel
in succession to Cardinal Godfried Danneels who turned 80 on June 4, last.
MALTA:
1 non-Elector
(Note:
Prosper Cardinal Grech OSA (87) gave the final exhortation at the conclave in
March. This was the first ever to be published.)
Eastern Europe (10/10)
POLAND:
4 Electors; 2 non-Electors
NOTE:
Mgr Józef Kowalczyk (75), Archbishop of Gniezno, is a distinguished former
Apostolic Nuncio. Gniezno is the historic Primatial See of Poland but I cannot
see His Excellency being considered.
CZECH
REPUBLIC: 1 Elector; 1 non-Elector
HUNGARY:
1 Elector; 1 non-Elector
SLOVAKIA:
2 non-Electors
UKRAINE:
2 non-Electors
NB:
(1)
The Greek Catholic Church of the Ukraine is by far and away the largest of the
Eastern Rite Churches in full communion with Rome. Many believe that it is long
past time it should have been created a Patriarchate.
(2)
Major Archbishop Sviatoslav Shevchuk (43) was
elected to Kyiv–Halyč of the Ukrainians on 23 March, 2011, and this was
confirmed by Pope Benedict XVI two days later, March 25, 2011 and upon receipt
of that confirmation assumed office as Metropolitan Archbishop of Kyiv (Kiev)
of the Ukraines. Born on May 5, 1970, as I write (November 3, 2013) is only 43
years old. His predecessor having attained his 80th birthday on
February 26 last he SHOULD be considered a certainty for inclusion in the
forthcoming list of new cardinals. But will his age be held against him?
BOSNIA
AND HERZEGOVINA: 1 Elector
CROATIA:
1 Elector
LITHUANIA:
1 Elector
SLOVENIA:
1 Elector
ROMANIA:
1 non-Elector
North America (16/10)
CANADA:
3 Electors
Note:
Montreal first became a Red Hat See with Paul-Émile Cardinal Léger’s elevation
in 1953, three years after his appointment. But, his successor, Jean-Claude
Cardinal Turcotte, waited 20 years for his cardinal’s hat. And his successor,
being passed over in one consistory. So it is by no means certain that Archbishop Christian Lépine (62), appointed and
installed on March 20, 2012, will be created cardinal at this consistory.
UNITED
STATES: 11 Electors; 8 non-Electors
Baltimore:
Archbishop William Edward Lori (62) appointed March
20, 2012, in succession to Edwin Frederick Cardinal O’Brien (74) who was
appointed Grand Master of the Equestrian Order of the Holy Sepulchre of
Jerusalem (August 29, 2011, as Pro-Grand). Cardinal O’Brien had been appointed
in succession to William Henry Cardinal Keeler, now aged 82 years.
Detroit:
First became a Red Hat See with Edward Aloysius Cardinal Mooney’s elevation in
1946, nine years after his appointment. Archbishop
Allen Henry Vigneron (65) was appointed on January 5, 2009 on
the retiral of Adam Joseph Cardinal Maida. Mgr Vigneron has been passed over at
four consistories since Cardinal Maida turned 80.
Los
Angeles: Archbishop José Horacio Gómez Velasco (62 on
Boxing Day) succeeded on March 1, 2011 and has been passed over in 2
consistories under the Benedictine policy. Cardinal Mahony will remain an
elector until February 27, 2016. However, Los Angeles is the biggest
(arch)diocese in the USA AND it has a massive Latino population and that
population nationally is grossly underrepresented in the hierarchy and in the
Sacred College.
Philadelphia:
Archbishop Charles Joseph Chaput, OFM Cap (69) was
appointed on July 19, 2011, to succeed Justin Francis Cardinal Rigali. His
Eminence will be 80 on April 19, 2015.
MEXICO:
2 Electors; 2 non-Electors
NB: Mexico has 18 Metropolitan Archbishops.
Central America (3/1)
CUBA:
1 Elector
DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC: 1 Elector
HONDURAS:
1
Elector
NICARAGUA:
1
non-Elector
South America (9/12)
BRAZIL:
4 Electors; 5 non-Electors
NB: Brazil has 44 Metropolitan Archdioceses
São
Salvador da Bahia first became a Red Hat See with Augusto Álvaro Cardinal da
Silva’s elevation in 1953. Thereafter, the new Archbishop has been created
cardinal at the first opportunity. Archbishop Murilo
Sebastião Ramos Krieger (70) was appointed January 12, 2011, in succession
to Geraldo Majella Cardinal Agnelo who has just turned 80, on October 19.
São
Sebastião do Rio de Janeiro first became a Red Hay See with Joaquim Cardinal
Arcoverde de Albuquerque Cavalcanti’s elevation in 1905, eight years after his
appointment. The Cistercian, Archbishop Orani João
Tempesta (63), was appointed on February 27, 2009, in succession to Eusébio
Oscar Cardinal Scheid who turned 80 on December 8 last.
Belo
HorizonteL last two Archbishops created cardinal. Archbishop
Walmor Oliveira de Azevedo (59) was appointed on January 28, 2004, in
succession to Serafim Cardinal Fernandes de Araújo, now 89.
Brasilia:
Last two Archbishops were created, though not immediately, cardinal. Archbishop Sérgio da Rocha (54) was appointed on
August 6, 2011.
ARGENTINA:
1 Elector; 2 non-Electors
NB: Argentina has 13 Metropolitan Archbishops.
COLOMBIA:
1 Electors; 2 non-Electors
CHILE:
0 Electros; 2 non-Electors
Archbishop Ricardo Ezzati Andrello (72 on January 7) was
appointed Archbishop of Santiago de Chile on December 15, 2010. His
predecessor, Francisco Javier Cardinal Errázuriz Ossa, P. Schönstatt, a member
of the Council of Cardinals, turned 80 on April 13 last.
BOLIVIA:
1 Elector
ECUADOR:
1non-Elector
Fausto Gabriel Trávez Trávez (72) was appointed
Archbishop of Quito on March 11, 2010, in succession to Raúl Eduardo Cardinal
Vela Chiriboga who will be 80 on New Year’s Day.
PERU:
1
Elector
VENEZUELA:
1
Elector
South and East Asia (10/6)
INDIA:
5 Electors; 1 non-Elector
PHILIPPINES:
1Electors;
2 non-Electors
NB: The Philippines has 16 Metropolitan Archbishops.
Cebu:
Archbishop Jose Serofia Palma (61) appointed
October 15, 2010, in succession to Ricardo Jamin Cardinal Vidal who will be 83
by the time of the consistory.
HONG
KONG: 1Electors; 1 non-Elector
INDONESIA:
1Elector
SRI
LANKA: 1Elector
VIET
NAM: 1Elector
SOUTH
KOREA: 1 non-Elector
SRI
LANKA: 1 non-Elector
Central and South West Asia (1/2)
LEBANON:
1Elector; 1 non-Elector
IRAQ:
1 non-Elector
Oceania (1/3)
AUSTRALIA: 1 Eector; 2 non-Electors
NEW
ZEALAND: 1 non-Elector
Last
three Archbishops have been elevated. Archbishop
John Atcherley Dew (65) succeeded on March 21, 2005.
Western and Northern Africa (6/2)
NIGERIA:
2 Electors; 1 non-Elector
EGYPT:
1 Elector
GHANA:
1 Elector
GUINEA:
1 Elector
SENEGAL:
1 Elector
CAPE
d’IVOIRES: 1 non-Elector
Eastern and Central Africa (4/2)
CONGO
(DEM REP): 1 Elector
KENYA:
1 Elector
SUDAN:
1 Elector
TANZANIA:
1 Elector
CAMEROON:
1 non-Elector
UGANDA:
1 non-Elector
Southern Africa (1/2)
SOUTH
AFRICA: 1 Elector
ANGOLA:
1 non-Elector
MOZAMBIQUE:
1 non-Elector